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Pragmatic Integration: Scenario 1 for Eastern Partnership 2030

Over the next ten years, in the absence of major political setbacks or security related turbulence, most of the countries of the Eastern Partnership will have a fairly good chance of success in their political association and economic integration with the EU.

Russian Hegemony Revisited: Scenario 2 for Eastern Partnership 2030

With the world economy keeping its demand for oil and gas high and lacklustre efforts to stimulate ‘green’ alternatives, Russia manages to advance some of its military and economic modernisation despite the continuation of the West’s sanctions regime.

EU Pivot to Moscow: Scenario 3 for the Eastern Partnership 2030

Recognising a rare window of opportunity, EU leaders embrace a revised approach to Russia in order to ease economic and political tensions and establish the ground for a new European security architecture.

Civic Emancipation: Scenario 4 for the Eastern Partnership 2030

The emancipatory power of civil society to define, defend and demand changes in society becomes a key future of the Eastern Partnership region.

Politics & Energy: Eastern Partnership Trends

For the Eastern Partnership (EaP) countries, stability requires a restoration of public trust, renewed civic engagement and returns from socio-economic reforms. This necessitates the strengthening of democratic institutions and countering corruption, based on linkage between democratisation and economic development.

Could Zelenskyy’s Strategy for Donbas Lead Ukraine Into a Kremlin Trap?

In pursuit of peace in the war-torn region, the Ukrainian president’s short-term, tactical approach is vulnerable in the face of Russia’s long-term strategy.   One of the key messages at the heart of Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s presidential campaign in 2019 was a very simple one: peace in Donbas, the war-torn region of Ukraine where Russian-supported separatists […]

THE RELATIONS BETWEEN UKRAINE AND THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA: PROSPECTS FOR 2020

In recent years, the relations between Ukraine and the Republic of Moldova were quite often overshadowed by the elections in the countries. The respective rotations of the elites and personnel in the ministries in many cases were preventing efficient bilateral dialogue. The same is true for 2020, when the prospects of the bilateral dialogue are […]

Ukraine: Great Expectations

What do Volodymyr Zelenskyy and his team stand for? Will they realistically be able to deliver?

IN STRUGGLE FOR FOREIGN POLICY: PRIORITIES OF 2019 PRESIDENTIAL AND PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS AND OUTLOOK FOR 2020

Foreign policy did not become a top priority during either the presidential or the parliamentary election in Ukraine in 2019. With the focus on European and Euroatlantic integration debate, all other burning issues, such as relations with neighbours, building up international support against Russian aggression, relations with diaspora, and promotion of the Ukrainian image abroad, […]

Facing the Fourth Estate: A Rough Start and an Ambitious Reform Agenda

While having benefited from both conventional and new media during the election campaign, the new team in power had a rough start with some segments of the media and NGO community once elected. The part of the new government that is responsible for media-related policies is comprised of media professionals with extensive background in the […]

QUICK ECONOMIC REFORMS AND FIGHTING CORRUPTION – ARE THESE A PRIORITY FOR THE NEW GOVERNMENT?

The new government’s programme includes ambitious but realistic goals and fills in the gaps of the presidential and parliamentary election campaigns. The Servant of the People Party in the parliament demonstrates tentative signs of absence of firmness, after a couple of months of having supported all initiatives without reservations. For achieving fast and tangible results […]

EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE NEW TEAM

While too vague during the electoral campaigns period, the European integration track became more clear and nuanced with the new government coming into office in September 2019. The programme of Oleksiy Honcharuk’s government has a special chapter devoted to the issues of rapprochement with the EU and NATO. In some parts, it echoes the initiatives […]

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