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Currently, Ukraine is interested in the comprehensive involvement of the countries of the Global South in the implementation of its Peace Formula, which would be able to guarantee a fair victory and recovery of Ukraine after the conflict and increase the chances of Russian aggression not repeating itself in the future.
The 2024 scenarios for the global security order will be shaped by a significant number of variables driven both by domestic developments in the key actors and their foreign policy choices.
Regional politics throughout Latin America and the Caribbean would be influenced by four main interconnected dimensions: electoral, socio-economic, environmental and a dimension of foreign interference
2024 will be a year of relative strengthening of President Putin’s regime. As a result, the Russian president will further move away from the role of referee in relations between influence groups within Russian political elites.
Competition with the United States and Washington’s Chinese strategy, as well as the Chinese approach towards Taiwan, will be a critical trend-making factor for the further evolution of Chinese policies,
The 2024 elections are intended to reset the EU institutions and establish a new long-term agenda for the Union for the next five years.
United States political trends lie within three key dimensions: leadership type, stability of the election process and stance towards competitors and threats.
The analysis of trends and scenarios in the development of the international political situation in 2024
India has been Ukraine’s biggest partner in South Asia for thirty years. However, proactive relations between India and Ukraine date back to the time of the Soviet Union. Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine has had a substantial impact on traditional areas of Ukraine-India cooperation, including the economy, education, and military industry.
After the beginning of the large-scale aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine, the strategic importance of Belarus, which remains the only Russian formal ally in Europe, has significantly increased. Due to this, there is a need to increase attention and efforts of Ukraine, Poland, and Lithuania aimed at reducing Russian influence in Belarus and creating prerequisites for possible democratic transformations.
South Korea’s experience was as relevant for Ukraine in the early 1990s as it is now, as Ukraine’s government is trying to engage South Korea in the reconstruction effort after the damages caused by the Russian aggression.