Subscribe for Newsletter
The deepening of further military cooperation between Russia and Belarus poses a threat not only to Ukraine’s security but also to that of European countries.
This study aims to develop effective narratives that will contribute to changing the position of Western countries regarding their attitude toward Russia’s nuclear arsenal and the possibility of its use.
Trends that are formed under the influence of critical factors create the basis for scenario development at the level of individual states and interstate relations (trend-impact effect). The identification of the cross-impact effect provides opportunities for building development scenarios for the region as a whole.
For Ukraine and the countries on NATO’s eastern flank, the “Regional Grouping of Forces of the Union State,” deployed in 2022 on Belarusian territory, is becoming a potential threat. In the short term, Lukashenka’s continued hold on power guarantees the continuation of integration, while in the longer term, Moscow may consider options for the complete absorption of Belarus.
This publication seeks to offer the reader a first-hand insight into how the war has changed professional activities of Ukrainian academics and civil society.
To reinforce strategic partnership with NATO, the EU strategies seek to generate financial resources to develop capabilities by the EU Member States in line with NATO capability targets, regional defence plans and command and control structures.
The EU has been one of the most active promoters of the Peace Formula initiative proposed by President Zelenskyy. European institutions and member states provided substantial support in the preparation for the first Global Summit on Peace in Ukraine, held in Switzerland in June 2024.
At this stage, Russia’s position on peace negotiations to end the war is based on two key factors. The first and main factor is to demonstrate exclusively maximalist conditions for both ending the war and starting negotiations