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Russian Hegemony Revisited: Scenario 2 for Eastern Partnership 2030

With the world economy keeping its demand for oil and gas high and lacklustre efforts to stimulate ‘green’ alternatives, Russia manages to advance some of its military and economic modernisation despite the continuation of the West’s sanctions regime.

EU Pivot to Moscow: Scenario 3 for the Eastern Partnership 2030

Recognising a rare window of opportunity, EU leaders embrace a revised approach to Russia in order to ease economic and political tensions and establish the ground for a new European security architecture.

Civic Emancipation: Scenario 4 for the Eastern Partnership 2030

The emancipatory power of civil society to define, defend and demand changes in society becomes a key future of the Eastern Partnership region.

Politics & Energy: Eastern Partnership Trends

For the Eastern Partnership (EaP) countries, stability requires a restoration of public trust, renewed civic engagement and returns from socio-economic reforms. This necessitates the strengthening of democratic institutions and countering corruption, based on linkage between democratisation and economic development.

Security: Eastern Partnership Trends

Despite three decades of independence, the Eastern Partnership countries are still plagued by insecurity, driven by political weakness due to authoritarian rule or incomplete democracy, external pressure, largely from Russia, and due to unresolved or frozen conflicts.

Society & Demography: Eastern Partnership Trends

By 2030, the Eastern Partnership countries are likely to be characterised by greater diversity in the area of demography and as a consequence the ‘human’ dimension of development.

Information & Digital: Eastern Partnership Trends

Strengthening information and digital security is important for the Eastern Partnership countries.

Economy & Technology: Eastern Partnership Trends

The Eastern Partnership has proven to be a viable initiative, providing the grounds for a beneficial dialogue, a boost in trade flows between the EU and the neighbouring countries and increasing the overall favourable opinion on the European Union in the six states.

EU & Environment: Eastern Partnership Trends

As a milestone for the EU’s Eastern Partnership programme, the upcoming EaP summit in May 2020 will be an opportunity for serious consideration of environmental challenges.

The “Frozen Conflict Perspective” in Eastern Ukraine and its Influence on Identity Construction

Although socially and politically constructed, the self-identification of the separatist regions in the east of Ukraine and their inhabitants can have a significant influence on the conflict resolution process. Through an analysis of identity construction in Donbas via the self-perceptions of residents of both the controlled and the uncontrolled territories, and their views regarding the […]

Could Zelenskyy’s Strategy for Donbas Lead Ukraine Into a Kremlin Trap?

In pursuit of peace in the war-torn region, the Ukrainian president’s short-term, tactical approach is vulnerable in the face of Russia’s long-term strategy.   One of the key messages at the heart of Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s presidential campaign in 2019 was a very simple one: peace in Donbas, the war-torn region of Ukraine where Russian-supported separatists […]

THE RELATIONS BETWEEN UKRAINE AND THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA: PROSPECTS FOR 2020

In recent years, the relations between Ukraine and the Republic of Moldova were quite often overshadowed by the elections in the countries. The respective rotations of the elites and personnel in the ministries in many cases were preventing efficient bilateral dialogue. The same is true for 2020, when the prospects of the bilateral dialogue are […]

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