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The government is increasing taxes while admitting budget deficit, street protests are decentralized, and the EU adopts the third package of sanctions.
Lukashenko’s press secretary was involved in the incident leading to the death of a protester. The EU introduces new sanctions while social support is reduced.
Lukashenko seeks to replace the protest agenda by discussing amendments to the Constitution, Tikhanovskaya presents her ultimatum, European ambassadors leave Minsk.
The protests have been going on for 7 weeks, IT-business is losing $100 thousand daily, Svetlana Tikhanovskaya is reinstating her foreign policy legitimacy.
Falsified election results and brutal actions of security forces spawn society outrage and revoke Lukashenko’s domestic and foreign legitimacy.
The public uprising was met with unprecedented repressions. The EU sanctions and economic problems caused by voluntaristic decisions of authorities are on the horizon.
Hundreds of people were arrested and fined while the West criticizes the persecution of politicians and bloggers. In the new government, the security forces replaced the market-oriented staff.
Belarus was cut off from a single Eurasian gas market but won American oil. The election campaign started with detentions, arrests, and fines.
The authorities’ policy regarding the epidemic is inconsistent, the economy has to rely on emergency loans.
(Українська) Власти сочетают сближение с Западом и внутренние репрессии против своих оппонентов, а белорусскую экономику капитально штормит.
(Українська) Внутренняя повестка дня остается сконцентрированной на предстоящих избирательных кампаниях, а подход властей всё ужесточается. А во внешней политике Беларусь делает ставку на диверсификацию и находит общий язык с давними оппонентами.
Last month saw the launch of campaigns for MPs in both chambers of Belarusian parliament, and the country’s continued active interaction with its partners in the international arena.
Parliamentary elections are finally scheduled in Belarus. While the government is walking away from populistic rhetoric in its struggle for the hearts of the voters, nobody expects the parliamentary election to deliver systemic change.
May saw a slight decrease in foreign policy activity and intensification of domestic politics in Belarus. This is the result of preparations for the upcoming elections and the reform of the Constitution, as well as the crisis around the Ministry of Interior Affairs.
Belarus has finally decided on the date of the parliamentary and presidential elections. Russia has recalled its notorious ambassador, but its economic pressure continues.
What Belarus’ new Information Security Concept says and what consequences it will have for the evolution of its political regime
March saw a shift of accents in the work of the government and media in Belarus. Excessive attention to tensions in Belarus-Russia relations in January-February was replaced by an emphasis on domestic and economic policies. However, these accents turned out to be mostly negatively colored as well.
In February 2019, Belarusian leadership paid increased attention to the issues of information security. This is a strong signal of the key upcoming election campaigns in the country. The decisions made during this period are both opportunistic and strategic.
Belarus further tightens control over its domestic political field. Without Russia’s support, the outlook for its economy is gloomy. Meanwhile, the standoff with Moscow switches from open to positional.
(Українська) В декабре напряженность в отношениях между Россией и Беларусью, которую можно было наблюдать в последние годы, вышла на новый уровень и переросла в открытый конфликт.
Parliamentary and presidential election campaigns are about to start in Belarus, so the authorities continue to “tighten the screws” in the domestic political field and bank on new appointments to the key positions.
The entire country is gradually focusing on the upcoming presidential election. The entire government and bureaucracy, the 2019 budget, and even international relations are all being used to polish up Aliaksandr Lukashenka’s image.
Within the given period the relations between Belarus and Russia have become a source of mostly negative news. As for the country’s domestic policy, there are some significant changes in the opposition, while economic indicators are demonstrating lower figures for the first time over a rather long period.
Changing the government the leader of Belarus was rather close to publicly define Russia as the main challenge to the independence and security of Belarus.
The main task is to achieve the fastest results in the short-term perspective and harden the “control” over independent information flow before the elections.
Alexander Lukashenko signed a decree to extend the visa-free stay for the foreign citizens from 80 countries from 5 to 30 days
Belarus authorities began preparations for the presidential and parliamentary elections and tried to ease the protest mood with the financial methods
No general economic platform for the Eastern Partnership countries can’t yet be discussed.
Instead of the President Vladimir Makei was the head of the Belarusian delegation at the Eastern Partnership Summit
No later than May, 2018 the Russian authorities are launching the temporary border control points on the Belarusian-Russian border.
“Zapad-2017” drills attracted the unprecended international attention as at least from 2008 Russia instrumentalized its large-scale military maneuvers in order to serve its geopolitical purposes
The Foreign Affairs Minister Vladimir Makei yet again introduced “Helsinki-2” initiative in UNO
Alexander Lukashenko personally controlled the «harvest fight» collecting political points from the rural areas voters
Law enforcement agencies grow power in Belarus
Partnership with China for Belarus opens the opportunity to hedge its foreign policy risks
The State of the Nation address was delivered by the President of the Republic of Belarus to the people of Belarus
The contradictions between Belarus and Russia have always been fundamental
Special forces demonstrated the brutality on March 25, on Freedom Day
February turned out to be restless for Belarus. The necessity of long-overdue economic reforms and, as a consequence, the country’s dissatisfaction with its socio-economic situation has resulted in mass protests on the streets of the capital and in the regions.
President Lukasheko’s messages focused on the task of ensuring peace and security for Belarus and its need to «keep the gunpowder dry»
Belarusian territory cannot be used by foreign troops for military aggression against neighbouring countries